Nesodden vs Mo IL analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.3%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.3%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
4%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.7%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
19.9%
21.9%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nesodden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2012 |
FRI
4 - 2
NES
58%
22%
20%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
NES
1 - 0
FIN
49%
24%
28%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 May. 2012 |
GFC
1 - 1
NES
34%
24%
43%
|
41 | 32 | 9 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
ASK
4 - 0
NES
75%
15%
9%
|
41 | 53 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
NES
1 - 1
MOS
39%
23%
38%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Mo IL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2012 |
MOI
3 - 2
KVI
22%
23%
55%
|
30 | 50 | 20 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2012 |
MOI
0 - 1
ALT
20%
22%
58%
|
30 | 59 | 29 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2012 |
TRO
2 - 0
MOI
60%
21%
19%
|
31 | 40 | 9 | -1 |
| 02 May. 2012 |
NIL
2 - 5
MOI
13%
16%
71%
|
31 | 13 | 18 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
MOI
1 - 0
OST
39%
24%
37%
|
29 | 36 | 7 | +2 |