Nesebar vs Svilengrad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.9%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.7%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.1%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.6%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.7%
11.4%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-32%
-36%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nesebar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
SPA
0 - 1
NES
14%
21%
66%
|
43 | 27 | 16 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
BOR
0 - 1
NES
12%
17%
71%
|
45 | 24 | 21 | -2 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
NES
3 - 0
LEV
86%
10%
4%
|
43 | 20 | 23 | +2 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
NES
5 - 0
RAK
81%
13%
6%
|
43 | 25 | 18 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
EVR
3 - 4
NES
20%
20%
60%
|
42 | 27 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
Svilengrad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
SVI
2 - 0
RAK
73%
16%
11%
|
32 | 24 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2016 |
EVR
3 - 4
SVI
30%
21%
49%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
SVI
2 - 2
DIM
47%
24%
29%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
CHB
1 - 3
SVI
37%
24%
40%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | +3 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
SVI
5 - 0
GIG
39%
24%
36%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | +2 |