Nesebar vs Svilengrad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.2%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.8%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.1%
15.8%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-32%
-36%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nesebar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2015 |
NES
1 - 0
SPA
74%
17%
10%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
EVR
2 - 2
NES
39%
23%
38%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2015 |
NES
2 - 2
DIM
76%
16%
9%
|
37 | 26 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
NES
4 - 0
MAR
43%
24%
32%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
NES
6 - 1
SLI
85%
11%
4%
|
33 | 11 | 22 | +3 |
Matches
Svilengrad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2015 |
SVI
2 - 1
ZAG
48%
24%
28%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2015 |
DIM
2 - 0
SVI
39%
25%
36%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
SPA
2 - 1
SVI
30%
25%
45%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | -2 |
| 25 Mar. 2015 |
SVI
1 - 1
ROZ
52%
23%
25%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
EVR
2 - 2
SVI
47%
23%
31%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | 0 |