Nesebar vs Svilengrad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.7%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.2%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
28.6%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
-36%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nesebar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
NES
0 - 1
MAS
58%
22%
21%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
STR
0 - 4
NES
10%
18%
72%
|
40 | 11 | 29 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
NES
4 - 0
TUN
66%
19%
15%
|
42 | 31 | 11 | -2 |
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
MIN
0 - 1
NES
50%
23%
27%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
NES
1 - 1
SOZ
60%
23%
17%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | -2 |
Matches
Svilengrad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
SVI
0 - 0
ROZ
75%
16%
10%
|
39 | 27 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
ASE
0 - 0
SVI
46%
23%
31%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
SVI
1 - 1
SPA
67%
19%
14%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
VER
5 - 0
SVI
58%
22%
21%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | -4 |
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
SVI
4 - 0
DIM
78%
15%
8%
|
44 | 30 | 14 | 0 |