Nesebar vs Svilengrad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.8%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.8%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
32.3%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-29%
-36%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nesebar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
SOZ
2 - 1
NES
34%
25%
41%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
BRE
1 - 7
NES
16%
22%
62%
|
44 | 24 | 20 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
NES
4 - 0
SPA
73%
17%
10%
|
44 | 33 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
FKH
2 - 1
NES
28%
25%
46%
|
45 | 35 | 10 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
NES
0 - 1
BGA
53%
25%
22%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Svilengrad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
SVI
3 - 0
BRE
85%
11%
4%
|
45 | 22 | 23 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
SPA
2 - 1
SVI
22%
24%
53%
|
47 | 32 | 15 | -2 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
SVI
0 - 0
FKH
68%
18%
14%
|
47 | 37 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
BGA
2 - 1
SVI
47%
24%
29%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
SVI
3 - 0
ASE
55%
22%
23%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | +1 |