Nesebar vs Svilengrad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.7%
3-0
10%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.7%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.8%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.2%
9.9%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-36%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nesebar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2008 |
MAR
2 - 3
NES
39%
27%
33%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2008 |
NES
2 - 0
SPA
56%
24%
20%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2008 |
SVE
1 - 3
NES
31%
28%
42%
|
55 | 46 | 9 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2008 |
NES
3 - 1
ROD
33%
27%
41%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2008 |
BEN
0 - 2
NES
20%
24%
56%
|
54 | 36 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Svilengrad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2008 |
SVI
1 - 1
CHE
25%
26%
50%
|
43 | 59 | 16 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2008 |
SVI
2 - 1
MAR
26%
25%
49%
|
41 | 53 | 12 | +2 |
| 09 Apr. 2008 |
SPA
2 - 1
SVI
68%
20%
12%
|
42 | 54 | 12 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2008 |
SVI
2 - 0
SVE
31%
25%
44%
|
39 | 48 | 9 | +3 |
| 29 Mar. 2008 |
ROD
1 - 0
SVI
75%
17%
8%
|
40 | 63 | 23 | -1 |