Nesebar vs Spartak Plovdiv analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.9%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
14.5%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-29%
+26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nesebar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2010 |
CHE
1 - 1
NES
30%
27%
43%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2010 |
NES
4 - 1
SVI
72%
17%
11%
|
56 | 44 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2010 |
SVE
0 - 0
NES
27%
26%
47%
|
56 | 44 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2009 |
NES
2 - 3
LYU
65%
21%
14%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 2009 |
CHE
1 - 0
NES
50%
25%
25%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Spartak Plovdiv
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2010 |
SPA
2 - 1
DUN
42%
27%
31%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2010 |
PAN
0 - 0
SPA
35%
29%
36%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2010 |
SPA
3 - 0
ROD
65%
21%
14%
|
50 | 39 | 11 | +1 |
| 06 Dec. 2009 |
SPA
0 - 0
SVA
24%
28%
48%
|
50 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2009 |
KAL
0 - 0
SPA
65%
22%
13%
|
50 | 60 | 10 | 0 |