Nesebar vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.1%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.1%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.6%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.3%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.8%
20.1%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
2-7
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nesebar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2021 |
ASE
4 - 2
NES
44%
23%
33%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2021 |
GIG
1 - 0
NES
60%
22%
19%
|
31 | 40 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
NES
4 - 0
SKM
34%
23%
43%
|
29 | 36 | 7 | +2 |
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
LEV
2 - 1
NES
44%
25%
32%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
NES
3 - 2
ROZ
40%
23%
37%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | +2 |
Matches
Lokomotiv Plovdiv II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2021 |
PLP
0 - 2
ROD
23%
21%
57%
|
28 | 40 | 12 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2021 |
FKH
4 - 0
PLP
91%
8%
2%
|
28 | 59 | 31 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2021 |
PLP
0 - 2
AKU
32%
23%
46%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | -2 |
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
PLP
1 - 1
GIG
26%
22%
52%
|
29 | 41 | 12 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2021 |
BOR
2 - 0
PLP
66%
18%
16%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | -1 |