Nesebar vs OFC Sliven 2000 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
83.3%
Win probability
2.67
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.9%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.5%
5-0
4.8%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.9%
4-0
8.9%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.6%
3-0
13.4%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.4%
2-0
15.1%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.9%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
12%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
12%
4.7%
Win probability
0.49
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.8%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nesebar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
ZAG
1 - 3
NES
15%
22%
63%
|
45 | 28 | 17 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2013 |
ROZ
2 - 4
NES
16%
22%
62%
|
44 | 26 | 18 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 2013 |
NES
2 - 0
ASE
57%
23%
20%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
SPA
4 - 3
NES
34%
26%
39%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2013 |
NES
2 - 0
VER
37%
26%
38%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | +2 |
Matches
OFC Sliven 2000
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2013 |
SLI
1 - 4
ROZ
53%
23%
25%
|
19 | 25 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2013 |
ASE
6 - 0
SLI
82%
12%
6%
|
19 | 37 | 18 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2013 |
SLI
0 - 7
SPA
24%
25%
51%
|
21 | 39 | 18 | -2 |
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
VER
10 - 0
SLI
82%
12%
6%
|
22 | 47 | 25 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2013 |
SLI
0 - 6
DIM
67%
19%
14%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | -2 |