Nesebar vs Neftochimic Burgas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.3%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.4%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.7%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.4%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
37.5%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nesebar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2025 |
NES
1 - 1
LOK
27%
24%
49%
|
47 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2025 |
MAR
1 - 0
NES
64%
22%
14%
|
47 | 59 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2025 |
NES
0 - 2
ETA
34%
26%
41%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2025 |
BPL
0 - 2
NES
46%
24%
30%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2025 |
NES
0 - 0
STR
48%
24%
29%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Neftochimic Burgas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jul. 2024 |
YAM
1 - 0
NEF
8%
15%
77%
|
51 | 28 | 23 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2021 |
LOK
2 - 1
NEF
40%
24%
36%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2021 |
SPO
1 - 1
NEF
53%
24%
24%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2021 |
NEF
3 - 1
LUD
26%
26%
48%
|
50 | 63 | 13 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2021 |
SOZ
3 - 2
NEF
57%
23%
20%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | 0 |