Nesebar vs Neftochimic Burgas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.1%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
7%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.4%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
33.8%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nesebar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 2011 |
NES
1 - 0
SVE
54%
25%
21%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2011 |
LYU
2 - 3
NES
46%
26%
28%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | +1 |
| 22 May. 2011 |
NES
0 - 0
CHE
39%
26%
34%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2011 |
DOB
1 - 0
NES
24%
26%
50%
|
54 | 43 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2011 |
NES
0 - 1
SPA
58%
24%
18%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Neftochimic Burgas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jun. 2011 |
SEP
0 - 1
NEF
17%
25%
58%
|
58 | 37 | 21 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2011 |
BOT
3 - 2
NEF
56%
23%
21%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Jun. 2011 |
NEF
1 - 1
SOZ
79%
15%
7%
|
59 | 41 | 18 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2011 |
NEF
2 - 0
BGA
81%
13%
5%
|
59 | 39 | 20 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2011 |
STA
0 - 3
NEF
8%
20%
72%
|
59 | 13 | 46 | 0 |