Nesebar vs Ludogorets analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
9.4%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.8%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
2.5%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
<0%
+1
7.3%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
18.7%
71.9%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
0-1
14.7%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.5%
0-2
15.1%
1-3
6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.1%
0-3
10.3%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
13.8%
0-4
5.3%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
6.7%
0-5
2.2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.6%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nesebar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2018 |
STR
2 - 2
NES
44%
25%
31%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
NES
1 - 1
KAR
51%
23%
27%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
BGA
2 - 0
NES
46%
26%
28%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2018 |
NES
2 - 1
ARK
45%
25%
31%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2018 |
POM
4 - 3
NES
58%
23%
19%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Ludogorets
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
BOT
2 - 3
LUD
26%
25%
49%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2018 |
LUD
2 - 3
LEV
42%
24%
34%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2018 |
LUD
2 - 1
VER
84%
12%
4%
|
85 | 59 | 26 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
LUD
3 - 1
DUN
68%
19%
13%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | +6 |
| 30 Aug. 2018 |
LUD
4 - 0
FTK
58%
22%
20%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |