Nesebar vs Ludogorets II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.5%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.8%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
29.8%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nesebar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2018 |
LOK
3 - 0
NES
57%
23%
21%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2018 |
NES
0 - 1
LOV
31%
26%
44%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2018 |
POM
3 - 1
NES
45%
26%
29%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
NES
0 - 0
STR
65%
20%
15%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2018 |
NES
2 - 0
CHE
49%
24%
27%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Ludogorets II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2018 |
LUD
0 - 2
MAR
68%
19%
14%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2018 |
MON
4 - 0
LUD
65%
21%
15%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2018 |
LUD
3 - 0
OBO
60%
22%
18%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
BVR
5 - 0
LUD
57%
24%
19%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
STR
2 - 1
LUD
29%
27%
44%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | -1 |