Nesebar vs Ludogorets II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.3%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.2%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.7%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
38.8%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.4%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nesebar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2016 |
NES
1 - 2
POM
31%
25%
44%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
FCT
0 - 2
NES
75%
18%
7%
|
50 | 71 | 21 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
NES
0 - 0
SOZ
30%
28%
43%
|
49 | 60 | 11 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
FKV
0 - 1
NES
34%
27%
39%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
NES
0 - 0
CSK
23%
24%
53%
|
48 | 63 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
Ludogorets II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2016 |
LUD
0 - 0
LSO
20%
26%
54%
|
57 | 75 | 18 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
FCT
1 - 0
LUD
68%
21%
11%
|
57 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2016 |
LUD
4 - 0
POM
49%
26%
25%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | +2 |
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
SOZ
2 - 0
LUD
53%
24%
23%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2016 |
LUD
1 - 3
SEP
86%
11%
3%
|
55 | 22 | 33 | +1 |