Nesebar vs Kaliakra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.8%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.5%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
24.1%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nesebar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2009 |
DUN
1 - 3
NES
37%
27%
35%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2009 |
NES
4 - 0
PAN
68%
20%
13%
|
56 | 46 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2009 |
ROD
0 - 3
NES
32%
27%
41%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 2009 |
NES
3 - 1
SVA
29%
27%
44%
|
54 | 66 | 12 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 2009 |
SPA
2 - 1
NES
34%
28%
39%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Kaliakra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2009 |
KAL
2 - 0
SVE
63%
22%
15%
|
58 | 47 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2009 |
DUN
2 - 2
KAL
36%
29%
35%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2009 |
PAN
1 - 0
KAL
24%
29%
47%
|
59 | 46 | 13 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 2009 |
KAL
1 - 0
LYU
59%
23%
18%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2009 |
ROD
0 - 3
KAL
36%
28%
36%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | +1 |