Nesebar vs FK Stara Zagora analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
86.9%
Win probability
3.02
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.6%
6-0
3.1%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.8%
5-0
6.2%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.9%
4-0
10.2%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.7%
3-0
13.5%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.5%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.7%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.6%
9.5%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
4.5%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
9.5%
3.6%
Win probability
0.5
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
2.9%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nesebar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
GIG
2 - 0
NES
55%
23%
23%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2015 |
NES
4 - 2
SVI
64%
20%
16%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 2015 |
NES
1 - 0
SPA
74%
17%
10%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
EVR
2 - 2
NES
39%
23%
38%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2015 |
NES
2 - 2
DIM
76%
16%
9%
|
37 | 26 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
FK Stara Zagora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
FKS
0 - 3
SPA
18%
21%
62%
|
13 | 25 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2015 |
EVR
3 - 0
FKS
84%
11%
5%
|
14 | 33 | 19 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 2015 |
FKS
0 - 3
DIM
17%
21%
62%
|
14 | 29 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2015 |
FKS
0 - 3
MAR
12%
17%
71%
|
16 | 36 | 20 | -2 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
FKS
0 - 3
SLI
72%
15%
13%
|
17 | 12 | 5 | -1 |