Nesebar vs Tsarsko Selo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.4%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.9%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.4%
26%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
50.6%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
13.1%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.4%
0-3
5%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nesebar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2018 |
DOB
1 - 0
NES
53%
24%
23%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2018 |
NES
4 - 2
LUD
46%
25%
30%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2018 |
LOK
3 - 0
NES
57%
23%
21%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | -2 |
| 13 May. 2018 |
NES
0 - 1
LOV
31%
26%
44%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2018 |
POM
3 - 1
NES
45%
26%
29%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Tsarsko Selo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2018 |
FCT
3 - 0
OFK
57%
24%
19%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2018 |
LOV
2 - 3
FCT
36%
27%
37%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2018 |
DUN
2 - 1
FCT
43%
24%
34%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | -2 |
| 19 May. 2018 |
FCT
2 - 1
CHE
73%
17%
10%
|
69 | 53 | 16 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2018 |
NEF
0 - 2
FCT
15%
24%
60%
|
69 | 44 | 25 | 0 |