Nesebar vs Tsarsko Selo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.5%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.5%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.6%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.4%
47.2%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
13.6%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.1%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nesebar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2017 |
NES
4 - 2
LOK
29%
26%
45%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
LOV
1 - 0
NES
79%
14%
7%
|
51 | 65 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2017 |
NES
0 - 3
POM
46%
27%
27%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | -2 |
| 20 Oct. 2017 |
STR
0 - 1
NES
31%
25%
45%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2017 |
CHE
3 - 2
NES
45%
25%
30%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Tsarsko Selo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2017 |
CHE
1 - 1
FCT
28%
28%
45%
|
69 | 54 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2017 |
FCT
5 - 1
NEF
75%
16%
9%
|
69 | 51 | 18 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2017 |
LSO
0 - 0
FCT
49%
27%
24%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 2017 |
FCT
3 - 4
BOT
34%
23%
43%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2017 |
FCT
2 - 0
MAR
80%
14%
6%
|
67 | 46 | 21 | +1 |