Nesebar vs Tsarsko Selo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.2%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.5%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.4%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
25.8%
55%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
15%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.2%
0-2
11.5%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.9%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.9%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nesebar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
SOZ
3 - 3
NES
59%
23%
18%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2017 |
NES
1 - 0
FKV
47%
26%
27%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2017 |
CSK
2 - 0
NES
63%
21%
16%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 2016 |
NES
1 - 1
BGA
50%
26%
24%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
BVR
2 - 2
NES
57%
23%
21%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Tsarsko Selo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2017 |
LUD
2 - 1
FCT
25%
27%
48%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
FCT
1 - 0
SOZ
65%
22%
13%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | +2 |
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
FKV
2 - 1
FCT
15%
26%
59%
|
70 | 53 | 17 | -2 |
| 12 Dec. 2016 |
FCT
4 - 2
CSK
58%
23%
19%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | +2 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
BGA
0 - 1
FCT
20%
26%
54%
|
68 | 54 | 14 | 0 |