Nesebar vs Fratria analysis

Nesebar Fratria
46 ELO 42
19.5% Tilt 0.9%
5793º General ELO ranking 5430º
50º Country ELO ranking 43º
ELO win probability
59%
Nesebar
20.9%
Draw
20.1%
Fratria

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59%
Win probability
Nesebar
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
6%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.4%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.9%
20.1%
Win probability
Fratria
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Nesebar
+6%
+48%
Fratria

Points and table prediction

Nesebar
Their league position
Fratria
CURR.POS.
20º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
28
20º
20º
45
15º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Dobrudzha Dobrich
82
85
100%
Montana
78
81
100%
Pirin Blagoevgrad
72
75
100%
Marek
62
63
75.5%
Yantra Gabrovo
62
62
75.5%
Dunav Ruse
62
62
76.5%
Etar
53
53
34.5%
CSKA 1948 Sofia II
52
53
9%
Belasitsa
53
53
34.5%
Ludogorets II
11º
51
52
10º
5.5%
Lokomotiv GO
10º
52
52
11º
52%
CSKA Sofia II
12º
50
50
12º
74.5%
Spartak Pleven
13º
48
49
13º
74.5%
Fratria
14º
45
48
14º
100%
FK Minyor Pernik
15º
38
39
15º
87%
Sportist Svoge
16º
37
37
16º
87%
Litex Lovech
17º
33
33
17º
100%
Botev Plovdiv II
18º
30
30
18º
74.5%
Strumska Slava
19º
28
29
19º
74.5%
Nesebar
20º
28
28
20º
100%
Expected probabilities
Nesebar
Fratria
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Mid-table
0% 100%
Relegation
100% 0%

ELO progression

Nesebar
Fratria
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Nesebar
Nesebar
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
01 Mar. 2025
SPO
Sportist Svoge
0 - 0
Nesebar
NES
45%
25%
30%
45 48 3 0
22 Feb. 2025
NES
Nesebar
1 - 1
Dobrudzha Dobrich
DOB
22%
25%
53%
44 62 18 +1
15 Feb. 2025
LOV
Litex Lovech
2 - 2
Nesebar
NES
45%
26%
29%
44 48 4 0
05 Feb. 2025
NES
Nesebar
0 - 3
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas
CHE
29%
23%
49%
44 53 9 0
01 Feb. 2025
NES
Nesebar
1 - 2
Etar
ETA
27%
23%
50%
44 54 10 0

Matches

Fratria
Fratria
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
01 Mar. 2025
FCF
Fratria
0 - 2
Spartak Pleven
SPA
39%
25%
36%
45 51 6 0
23 Feb. 2025
CSK
CSKA Sofia II
4 - 1
Fratria
FCF
63%
21%
16%
46 54 8 -1
15 Feb. 2025
OFK
Pirin Blagoevgrad
0 - 0
Fratria
FCF
66%
20%
14%
45 62 17 +1
08 Feb. 2025
FCF
Fratria
2 - 2
Septemvri Tervel
SEP
46%
24%
31%
45 44 1 0
08 Feb. 2025
FCF
Fratria
1 - 0
Chernomorets Balchik
CHE
28%
22%
50%
45 50 5 0