Nesebar vs Dunav Ruse analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.2%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
23.6%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-29%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nesebar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2010 |
PAN
1 - 4
NES
26%
28%
47%
|
56 | 46 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2010 |
NES
3 - 0
ROD
79%
14%
7%
|
56 | 36 | 20 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2010 |
SVA
0 - 0
NES
53%
26%
22%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2010 |
NES
1 - 1
SPA
64%
22%
15%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2010 |
CHE
1 - 1
NES
30%
27%
43%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Dunav Ruse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2010 |
KAL
1 - 3
DUN
61%
23%
16%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2010 |
DUN
3 - 1
PAN
61%
23%
16%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2010 |
ROD
0 - 3
DUN
22%
25%
53%
|
54 | 37 | 17 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2010 |
DUN
3 - 0
SVA
34%
29%
38%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | +2 |
| 17 Mar. 2010 |
SPA
2 - 1
DUN
42%
27%
31%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | -1 |