Nesebar vs Dorostol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.2%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.9%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.8%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.4%
12.3%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nesebar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
SLI
0 - 0
NES
68%
20%
12%
|
52 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
NES
1 - 4
LYU
40%
28%
32%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
BOT
1 - 1
NES
75%
16%
9%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
NES
0 - 2
SLI
27%
27%
46%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
SVA
0 - 1
NES
52%
25%
23%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Dorostol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
ETA
3 - 0
DOR
69%
21%
10%
|
43 | 61 | 18 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
DOR
0 - 3
NEF
20%
27%
53%
|
43 | 60 | 17 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
LYU
3 - 0
DOR
67%
21%
12%
|
44 | 58 | 14 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
DOR
0 - 3
BOT
16%
24%
60%
|
45 | 62 | 17 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
SLI
3 - 0
DOR
72%
19%
9%
|
45 | 62 | 17 | 0 |