Nesebar vs CSKA Sofia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11.3%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.4%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
3.1%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.4%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.5%
69.2%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
0-1
13.5%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.2%
0-2
13.7%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.2%
0-3
9.3%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
13%
0-4
4.7%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
-4
6.2%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nesebar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2017 |
NES
4 - 0
MAR
67%
19%
14%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2017 |
MON
1 - 3
NES
65%
19%
15%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2017 |
NES
2 - 1
OBO
43%
27%
30%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2017 |
BVR
1 - 1
NES
63%
21%
17%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2017 |
NES
3 - 1
LUD
34%
26%
40%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | +2 |
Matches
CSKA Sofia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2017 |
CVA
0 - 1
CSK
26%
28%
46%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2017 |
CSK
3 - 0
VER
71%
18%
11%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2017 |
CSK
3 - 1
MAR
89%
9%
2%
|
79 | 46 | 33 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2017 |
BER
0 - 3
CSK
46%
27%
28%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2017 |
CSK
6 - 1
FKV
84%
12%
4%
|
78 | 57 | 21 | 0 |