Nesebar vs CSKA Sofia II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.6%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.8%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.5%
24%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
53.4%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.4%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.2%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nesebar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
BGA
1 - 0
NES
57%
23%
20%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2016 |
NES
2 - 0
BVR
32%
26%
42%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | +3 |
| 28 May. 2016 |
ASE
2 - 1
NES
18%
22%
60%
|
45 | 28 | 17 | -1 |
| 25 May. 2016 |
NES
1 - 1
MAR
70%
19%
12%
|
45 | 35 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2016 |
NES
2 - 0
SLI
88%
9%
3%
|
45 | 17 | 28 | 0 |
Matches
CSKA Sofia II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2016 |
CSK
1 - 2
FCT
38%
28%
35%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2016 |
SOZ
0 - 2
CSK
38%
28%
34%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | +2 |