Nesebar vs Chernomorets Balchik analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.8%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.9%
17.4%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-29%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nesebar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2009 |
SVI
2 - 1
NES
32%
26%
42%
|
55 | 46 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2009 |
NES
2 - 0
SVE
62%
22%
17%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | +1 |
| 13 Jun. 2009 |
MAR
1 - 0
NES
28%
27%
45%
|
55 | 46 | 9 | -1 |
| 08 Jun. 2009 |
NES
2 - 0
LYU
51%
25%
25%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 May. 2009 |
ROD
1 - 6
NES
50%
26%
24%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Chernomorets Balchik
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2009 |
CHE
2 - 0
DUN
44%
25%
30%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2009 |
PAN
0 - 0
CHE
42%
27%
32%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Jun. 2009 |
MIN
1 - 3
CHE
52%
23%
25%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2009 |
CHE
3 - 0
MAR
47%
25%
28%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | +1 |
| 30 May. 2009 |
LYU
2 - 2
CHE
64%
22%
15%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | +1 |