Nesebar vs Brestnik analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.3%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.9%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.6%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.2%
10.5%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nesebar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2013 |
SPA
0 - 1
NES
36%
26%
38%
|
46 | 40 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
NES
2 - 0
FKH
55%
24%
22%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2013 |
BGA
3 - 1
NES
53%
24%
23%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
NES
2 - 1
ASE
42%
25%
33%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
HEB
1 - 3
NES
11%
20%
69%
|
45 | 24 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Brestnik
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2013 |
BRE
0 - 2
SOZ
38%
26%
36%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
BRE
2 - 0
SPA
24%
25%
51%
|
26 | 42 | 16 | +4 |
| 24 Apr. 2013 |
FKH
4 - 0
BRE
70%
18%
12%
|
27 | 39 | 12 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
BRE
1 - 2
BGA
26%
28%
46%
|
28 | 49 | 21 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
ASE
6 - 1
BRE
78%
14%
8%
|
29 | 46 | 17 | -1 |