Nesebar vs Brestnik analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.6%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.6%
15.4%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nesebar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2009 |
NES
1 - 1
KAL
51%
25%
24%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2009 |
DUN
1 - 3
NES
37%
27%
35%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2009 |
NES
4 - 0
PAN
68%
20%
13%
|
56 | 46 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2009 |
ROD
0 - 3
NES
32%
27%
41%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 2009 |
NES
3 - 1
SVA
29%
27%
44%
|
54 | 66 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Brestnik
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2009 |
BRE
1 - 2
DUN
55%
24%
22%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2009 |
PAN
0 - 2
BRE
33%
28%
40%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2009 |
BRE
3 - 1
ROD
59%
22%
19%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2009 |
SVA
0 - 0
BRE
71%
20%
9%
|
50 | 65 | 15 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 2009 |
BRE
0 - 1
SPA
57%
23%
20%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | -1 |