Nesebar vs Botev Plovdiv analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.5%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.2%
1-0
9%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
41.1%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nesebar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
SLI
4 - 0
NES
59%
24%
17%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
NES
2 - 0
SVA
46%
26%
28%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
DOB
1 - 0
NES
27%
27%
46%
|
56 | 46 | 10 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
NES
0 - 3
ETA
45%
27%
29%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
NES
2 - 3
CHE
38%
27%
35%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Botev Plovdiv
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
BOT
4 - 0
DOR
80%
14%
6%
|
60 | 48 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
NEF
2 - 2
BOT
53%
24%
24%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
BOT
2 - 2
LYU
71%
19%
11%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
CHE
1 - 1
BOT
48%
25%
27%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
SLI
0 - 0
BOT
51%
25%
24%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |