Nervión vs UD Villaverde analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.5%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.6%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
27.3%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.9%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nervión
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2010 |
CDP
1 - 1
NER
44%
23%
33%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2010 |
NER
1 - 2
CAM
51%
23%
26%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2010 |
SAN
0 - 0
NER
55%
22%
23%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2010 |
NER
1 - 1
CIS
19%
22%
60%
|
14 | 25 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2010 |
LCF
6 - 0
NER
55%
21%
24%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | -2 |
Matches
UD Villaverde
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2010 |
UDV
3 - 1
TRI
19%
21%
60%
|
12 | 19 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2010 |
ATL
1 - 1
UDV
54%
22%
24%
|
12 | 13 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2010 |
UDV
1 - 2
UDT
41%
25%
35%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2010 |
PUE
1 - 1
UDV
67%
20%
13%
|
12 | 20 | 8 | +1 |
| 30 May. 2010 |
UDB
1 - 0
UDV
52%
23%
26%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | -1 |