Nervión vs Lebrijana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.4%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.7%
2-0
12%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
8%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.9%
10.7%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nervión
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2004 |
PUE
0 - 2
NER
33%
25%
42%
|
28 | 23 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2004 |
NER
2 - 0
UDM
35%
25%
40%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | +2 |
| 07 Mar. 2004 |
CAN
0 - 0
NER
34%
24%
42%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2004 |
NER
0 - 0
EST
50%
23%
27%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2004 |
UTR
2 - 0
NER
58%
22%
20%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Lebrijana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2004 |
LEB
1 - 2
SUE
78%
14%
8%
|
21 | 15 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2004 |
CAB
2 - 1
LEB
72%
17%
11%
|
22 | 29 | 7 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2004 |
LEB
3 - 0
VIS
41%
24%
35%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | +2 |
| 29 Feb. 2004 |
CAS
5 - 1
LEB
76%
16%
8%
|
21 | 35 | 14 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2004 |
CAM
0 - 1
LEB
65%
21%
15%
|
20 | 27 | 7 | +1 |