Nervión vs Rud La Carlota analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.1%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.8%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.3%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.9%
32%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nervión
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
VIL
3 - 0
NER
68%
18%
14%
|
12 | 18 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
NER
3 - 1
ESP
28%
24%
48%
|
10 | 15 | 5 | +2 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
CIU
5 - 1
NER
54%
22%
25%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
LEB
4 - 1
NER
73%
17%
10%
|
12 | 18 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
NER
4 - 3
BAR
31%
23%
46%
|
11 | 16 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Rud La Carlota
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
CAR
1 - 1
BAR
43%
23%
33%
|
12 | 13 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
UTR
3 - 1
CAR
73%
16%
12%
|
13 | 18 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
CAR
5 - 2
BRE
62%
20%
18%
|
12 | 9 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
ROC
5 - 1
CAR
72%
16%
12%
|
13 | 18 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
CAR
1 - 0
CAS
21%
23%
56%
|
12 | 18 | 6 | +1 |