Nervión vs Moron analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.7%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.1%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
21%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nervión
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
PEN
0 - 2
NER
13%
19%
69%
|
14 | 7 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2016 |
ADS
2 - 3
NER
53%
21%
26%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
NER
1 - 1
ROC
38%
25%
37%
|
13 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
EST
4 - 1
NER
50%
22%
29%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
NER
1 - 2
MAI
48%
24%
28%
|
15 | 17 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Moron
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
UDM
0 - 1
ANT
35%
25%
40%
|
14 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2016 |
UDM
3 - 2
ESP
30%
24%
46%
|
13 | 17 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
PIL
0 - 0
UDM
27%
24%
49%
|
14 | 10 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
UDM
2 - 0
CDP
45%
24%
32%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | +1 |
| 05 Dec. 2015 |
POZ
3 - 3
UDM
67%
20%
14%
|
12 | 16 | 4 | +1 |