Nervión vs Moron analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.6%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.4%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
30.8%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nervión
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2008 |
ADC
1 - 2
NER
50%
23%
27%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2008 |
NER
3 - 1
NUE
31%
25%
44%
|
20 | 27 | 7 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2008 |
ADC
3 - 0
NER
54%
22%
24%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2008 |
LEB
2 - 3
NER
55%
21%
24%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2008 |
NER
0 - 2
PUE
46%
24%
30%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Moron
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2008 |
UDM
0 - 2
MSQ
45%
27%
28%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2008 |
UDM
1 - 1
ARH
40%
29%
31%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2008 |
ANT
3 - 0
UDM
66%
20%
13%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2008 |
UDM
0 - 1
MON
31%
29%
41%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2008 |
EGA
1 - 0
UDM
32%
27%
41%
|
29 | 21 | 8 | -1 |