Nervión vs Utrera B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72%
Win probability
2.58
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.7%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.1%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.6%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.9%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.5%
16%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16%
11.9%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nervión
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
MON
1 - 2
NER
25%
22%
53%
|
13 | 10 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
NER
2 - 0
AND
57%
21%
22%
|
13 | 12 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2018 |
HER
3 - 3
NER
20%
21%
59%
|
14 | 10 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
NER
2 - 0
TRI
61%
20%
20%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 May. 2018 |
NER
2 - 0
UTR
53%
21%
26%
|
12 | 12 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Utrera B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
UTR
2 - 0
CDD
58%
21%
21%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
PPM
3 - 1
UTR
61%
19%
20%
|
10 | 12 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2018 |
UTR
0 - 1
DOS
40%
23%
37%
|
11 | 13 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
MOR
1 - 2
UTR
34%
21%
45%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2018 |
NER
2 - 0
UTR
53%
21%
26%
|
12 | 12 | 0 | -1 |