Nervión vs Calavera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.5%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.7%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.2%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
39.3%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.1%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nervión
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
MAR
2 - 4
NER
34%
24%
42%
|
14 | 12 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
NER
2 - 1
PAB
26%
21%
53%
|
13 | 16 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 May. 2021 |
UTR
1 - 0
NER
58%
21%
22%
|
13 | 15 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2021 |
NER
2 - 0
CAZ
60%
20%
20%
|
13 | 10 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2021 |
ELT
4 - 2
NER
57%
20%
23%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Calavera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
CAL
3 - 0
CAZ
74%
16%
10%
|
16 | 10 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2021 |
CAL
5 - 0
UBB
77%
15%
9%
|
16 | 9 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2021 |
ATL
1 - 1
CAL
44%
22%
33%
|
16 | 15 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2021 |
CAM
4 - 0
CAL
27%
24%
49%
|
18 | 13 | 5 | -2 |
| 23 May. 2021 |
CAL
0 - 0
CDD
75%
15%
10%
|
18 | 12 | 6 | 0 |