Nervión vs Atco. Villanueva analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.7%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.2%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.4%
17.9%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nervión
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
BAR
1 - 2
NER
39%
24%
38%
|
13 | 12 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
NER
0 - 1
LCF
55%
22%
23%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
CDL
2 - 0
NER
46%
22%
32%
|
15 | 16 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
NER
2 - 1
UDM
58%
21%
21%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | +1 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
PEN
0 - 2
NER
13%
19%
69%
|
14 | 7 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Atco. Villanueva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
ATC
1 - 1
ANT
22%
24%
54%
|
12 | 18 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
ESP
2 - 0
ATC
68%
19%
13%
|
13 | 17 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
ATC
3 - 1
PIL
70%
18%
13%
|
12 | 8 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
CDP
1 - 2
ATC
39%
25%
36%
|
12 | 10 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
ATC
1 - 0
POZ
26%
25%
49%
|
11 | 16 | 5 | +1 |