Nerva CF vs Zalamea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14.1%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.3%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
4%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.8%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.7%
66.1%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
11.6%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.1%
0-3
8.1%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.3%
0-4
4.2%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nerva CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
ARO
4 - 0
NER
66%
18%
17%
|
9 | 12 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
NER
2 - 0
ATL
51%
23%
26%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | +2 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
REP
3 - 0
NER
50%
21%
29%
|
7 | 8 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
NER
1 - 1
CRU
28%
22%
50%
|
7 | 11 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
BEA
1 - 0
NER
53%
21%
26%
|
7 | 10 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Zalamea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
ZAL
3 - 1
VAL
71%
16%
13%
|
16 | 12 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2015 |
ROS
0 - 3
ZAL
49%
24%
27%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
ZAL
7 - 1
VIL
73%
16%
12%
|
15 | 10 | 5 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
ALO
4 - 2
ZAL
29%
24%
47%
|
17 | 13 | 4 | -2 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
ZAL
6 - 0
CDZ
68%
18%
14%
|
16 | 12 | 4 | +1 |