Nerva CF vs UD Aracena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.3%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.4%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.4%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.4%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
41.4%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.1%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nerva CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
REP
1 - 1
NER
82%
12%
6%
|
9 | 17 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
NER
0 - 3
BEA
34%
24%
42%
|
10 | 12 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
VAL
3 - 2
NER
83%
12%
6%
|
10 | 18 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
UD Aracena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
UDA
0 - 0
CDH
61%
20%
19%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
UDA
5 - 1
ARO
35%
24%
42%
|
9 | 11 | 2 | +2 |
| 13 May. 2012 |
UDA
2 - 2
CDE
21%
21%
57%
|
9 | 13 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
OLO
3 - 1
UDA
80%
13%
7%
|
9 | 16 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
UDA
1 - 2
ILI
11%
18%
71%
|
9 | 18 | 9 | 0 |