Nerva CF vs UD Punta del Caiman analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.6%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.2%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.1%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.5%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.5%
40%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
11.9%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nerva CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
AYA
1 - 1
NER
58%
21%
22%
|
7 | 10 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2015 |
NER
0 - 1
CDP
19%
20%
61%
|
7 | 13 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
ICR
7 - 1
NER
85%
10%
5%
|
7 | 17 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
NER
0 - 1
CDF
29%
23%
48%
|
7 | 12 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
COR
5 - 1
NER
53%
21%
26%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | -2 |
Matches
UD Punta del Caiman
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
PUM
3 - 1
UDP
63%
20%
17%
|
9 | 12 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
UDP
1 - 2
AYA
61%
20%
19%
|
10 | 9 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
CDP
4 - 3
UDP
60%
20%
20%
|
11 | 13 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
UDP
0 - 2
ICR
27%
24%
49%
|
11 | 17 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
CDF
2 - 2
UDP
44%
23%
34%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | 0 |