Nerva CF vs Riotinto Balompié analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.8%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.2%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.3%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
48.2%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
14.6%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.4%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-84%
+102%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nerva CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
UDA
3 - 0
NER
54%
22%
24%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
NER
0 - 2
REP
18%
21%
61%
|
11 | 18 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
BEA
3 - 1
NER
44%
24%
33%
|
12 | 11 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
NER
1 - 2
VAL
25%
23%
53%
|
13 | 18 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 Dec. 2012 |
NER
3 - 1
CDZ
20%
22%
59%
|
11 | 17 | 6 | +2 |
Matches
Riotinto Balompié
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
RIO
3 - 1
CDH
59%
21%
20%
|
12 | 10 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
RIO
6 - 0
ARO
40%
25%
35%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | +1 |
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
CDC
6 - 1
RIO
75%
15%
10%
|
11 | 18 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2012 |
CDE
6 - 1
RIO
68%
18%
14%
|
12 | 16 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 2012 |
RIO
4 - 0
ATL
28%
27%
46%
|
11 | 14 | 3 | +1 |