Nerva CF vs Repilado CD analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.2%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.6%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.9%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.1%
60.7%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
10%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.8%
0-2
10%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.5%
0-3
6.7%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.8%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.9%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-84%
-48%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nerva CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
BEA
3 - 1
NER
44%
24%
33%
|
12 | 11 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
NER
1 - 2
VAL
25%
23%
53%
|
13 | 18 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 Dec. 2012 |
NER
3 - 1
CDZ
20%
22%
59%
|
11 | 17 | 6 | +2 |
| 16 Dec. 2012 |
CDR
4 - 1
NER
35%
24%
41%
|
12 | 10 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 2012 |
CDH
0 - 2
NER
42%
24%
34%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Repilado CD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
REP
5 - 2
CDH
80%
13%
7%
|
18 | 10 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2012 |
ARO
1 - 2
REP
18%
20%
62%
|
18 | 9 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2012 |
REP
1 - 4
CDC
54%
22%
24%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2012 |
CDE
3 - 3
REP
44%
23%
33%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
REP
4 - 0
ATL
60%
21%
19%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | +1 |