Nerva CF vs C.D. Zarza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.3%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.9%
23%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23%
61.9%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
14.8%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.3%
0-2
12.9%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.3%
0-3
7.5%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
10.2%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-84%
-81%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nerva CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 2021 |
CAS
4 - 0
NER
60%
20%
20%
|
7 | 10 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
NER
0 - 2
SEN
36%
22%
42%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2021 |
CLU
4 - 1
NER
82%
12%
7%
|
9 | 14 | 5 | -2 |
| 13 Nov. 2021 |
NER
1 - 0
SAG
45%
22%
33%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | +2 |
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
VIL
2 - 1
NER
54%
21%
26%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
C.D. Zarza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 2021 |
CDZ
3 - 1
SAN
79%
13%
8%
|
16 | 9 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
ROS
1 - 0
CDZ
38%
25%
37%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2021 |
CDZ
1 - 2
ALO
80%
13%
7%
|
18 | 10 | 8 | -2 |
| 14 Nov. 2021 |
MAZ
1 - 3
CDZ
25%
25%
50%
|
17 | 11 | 6 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
CDZ
3 - 0
ARO
77%
14%
9%
|
17 | 11 | 6 | 0 |