Nerva CF vs C.D. Zarza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.6%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.3%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.8%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
52.6%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.7%
0-2
9%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.1%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.1%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-88%
-83%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nerva CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
NER
3 - 1
UDA
22%
23%
56%
|
7 | 12 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
CDZ
1 - 0
NER
74%
16%
10%
|
7 | 14 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
NER
1 - 1
FBV
35%
23%
42%
|
7 | 10 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
ALO
6 - 1
NER
49%
22%
30%
|
8 | 9 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
NER
1 - 3
CDE
47%
23%
30%
|
10 | 8 | 2 | -2 |
Matches
C.D. Zarza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
CDZ
1 - 0
NER
74%
16%
10%
|
14 | 7 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2018 |
ATL
0 - 1
CDZ
33%
26%
41%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
CDZ
1 - 1
ZAL
33%
25%
42%
|
13 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
BEA
1 - 1
CDZ
41%
25%
33%
|
13 | 12 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2018 |
CDZ
2 - 1
CDR
33%
22%
46%
|
12 | 14 | 2 | +1 |