Nerva CF vs C.D. Rubias analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.1%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.9%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.6%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
33.5%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nerva CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
NER
1 - 0
CDH
44%
24%
33%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
NER
0 - 3
ARO
50%
22%
28%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | -2 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
CDC
3 - 0
NER
82%
12%
6%
|
9 | 18 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
NER
0 - 4
CDE
19%
20%
61%
|
10 | 16 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
ATL
1 - 0
NER
69%
18%
13%
|
10 | 16 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
C.D. Rubias
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
RIO
4 - 0
CDR
54%
23%
23%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
CDR
1 - 2
CDH
66%
19%
15%
|
11 | 7 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
UDA
0 - 1
CDR
47%
23%
29%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
REP
5 - 1
CDR
76%
15%
9%
|
11 | 17 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
CDR
1 - 0
ARO
60%
20%
20%
|
11 | 8 | 3 | 0 |