Nerva CF vs Atl. Cortegana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14.9%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.6%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.1%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.2%
65.8%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.5%
0-2
10.6%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.8%
0-3
7.7%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.5%
0-4
4.2%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6.2%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.5%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-93%
-100%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nerva CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
ALJ
3 - 2
NER
51%
23%
27%
|
8 | 9 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
NER
2 - 3
CAR
15%
18%
67%
|
9 | 15 | 6 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
ADA
5 - 1
NER
76%
15%
9%
|
10 | 15 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
NER
1 - 1
JUA
12%
18%
70%
|
9 | 18 | 9 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2014 |
THA
0 - 1
NER
91%
7%
3%
|
7 | 20 | 13 | +2 |
Matches
Atl. Cortegana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
COR
3 - 2
UDP
72%
16%
12%
|
16 | 11 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
AYA
1 - 2
COR
19%
22%
59%
|
16 | 10 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
COR
3 - 0
CDP
74%
15%
11%
|
16 | 11 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
ICR
3 - 1
COR
53%
22%
25%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
COR
2 - 3
CDF
79%
13%
8%
|
18 | 12 | 6 | -1 |