Nerva CF vs Atlético Calañas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.2%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.4%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.4%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
58.6%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
0-1
12.7%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.2%
0-2
11.2%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.1%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.5%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.9%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-84%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nerva CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
RIO
1 - 1
NER
57%
22%
22%
|
9 | 10 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
NER
0 - 3
UDA
35%
23%
41%
|
9 | 11 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
REP
1 - 1
NER
82%
12%
6%
|
9 | 17 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
NER
0 - 3
BEA
34%
24%
42%
|
10 | 12 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
VAL
3 - 2
NER
83%
12%
6%
|
10 | 18 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Atlético Calañas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
ATL
0 - 0
CDH
74%
16%
10%
|
17 | 11 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
ATL
3 - 0
ARO
74%
17%
10%
|
15 | 9 | 6 | +2 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
CDC
1 - 1
ATL
57%
22%
21%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
ATL
2 - 2
CDE
45%
23%
32%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2012 |
PUN
3 - 2
ATL
48%
24%
28%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | 0 |