Nerva CF vs Aroche CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.7%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
6%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
28.2%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-84%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nerva CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
CDC
3 - 0
NER
82%
12%
6%
|
9 | 18 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
NER
0 - 4
CDE
19%
20%
61%
|
10 | 16 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
ATL
1 - 0
NER
69%
18%
13%
|
10 | 16 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2013 |
NER
3 - 2
RIO
29%
23%
48%
|
9 | 13 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
UDA
3 - 0
NER
54%
22%
24%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | -2 |
Matches
Aroche CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
ARO
1 - 0
CDH
55%
21%
24%
|
7 | 8 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
CDR
1 - 0
ARO
60%
20%
20%
|
8 | 11 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 2013 |
ARO
0 - 4
CDC
14%
19%
68%
|
9 | 18 | 9 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
CDE
2 - 0
ARO
74%
16%
11%
|
9 | 15 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
ARO
0 - 3
ATL
28%
25%
47%
|
10 | 15 | 5 | -1 |