Neroca vs Punjab FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.6%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.1%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
25%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
31.5%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-40%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Neroca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2016 |
MOH
1 - 0
NER
27%
26%
47%
|
46 | 38 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2016 |
FAH
2 - 1
NER
20%
23%
57%
|
47 | 30 | 17 | -1 |
| 02 Jan. 2016 |
NER
1 - 1
GAH
58%
22%
19%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2015 |
NER
0 - 0
GUW
64%
20%
15%
|
48 | 39 | 9 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 2015 |
NER
2 - 1
MOH
69%
19%
12%
|
47 | 37 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Punjab FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2016 |
MIN
2 - 0
KEN
77%
15%
8%
|
47 | 28 | 19 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2016 |
PIF
0 - 5
MIN
13%
18%
69%
|
46 | 22 | 24 | +1 |
| 03 Jan. 2016 |
DEM
2 - 1
MIN
34%
25%
41%
|
47 | 37 | 10 | -1 |
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
LKA
0 - 0
MIN
34%
25%
41%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2015 |
MIN
3 - 0
PIF
80%
14%
6%
|
48 | 25 | 23 | -1 |