Neroca vs Aizawl analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.4%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.8%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.5%
41.5%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.3%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-30%
-7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
14
8º
12º
12º
25
2º
10º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
52 | 52 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
48 | 48 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
42 | 42 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 41 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 40 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 35 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 33 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 31 |
8º
|
64% | |
|
|
10º
|
25 | 29 |
9º
|
50.5% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 27 |
10º
|
86.5% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 25 |
11º
|
97.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
14 | 14 |
12º
|
81.5% | |
|
13º
|
13 | 13 |
13º
|
81.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Neroca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2023 |
SHI
1 - 1
NER
22%
24%
54%
|
44 | 33 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
GFC
4 - 1
NER
72%
18%
10%
|
45 | 58 | 13 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
SDF
4 - 0
NER
67%
19%
13%
|
45 | 58 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2023 |
EAS
2 - 3
NER
60%
21%
19%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2023 |
SDF
4 - 2
NER
76%
15%
8%
|
46 | 57 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Aizawl
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2023 |
SDF
1 - 2
AIZ
67%
19%
14%
|
46 | 58 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
MOH
2 - 1
AIZ
55%
23%
23%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2023 |
EAS
2 - 2
AIZ
59%
22%
19%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2023 |
AIZ
0 - 3
DEL
14%
20%
66%
|
47 | 58 | 11 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2023 |
HYD
2 - 1
AIZ
85%
11%
4%
|
48 | 69 | 21 | -1 |