Neroca vs Aizawl analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.4%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.1%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.5%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
45.2%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.6%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.6%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-29%
-5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
5º
11º
9º
26
4º
10º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
52 | 52 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
42 | 42 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
39 | 39 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 35 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
34 | 34 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
33 | 33 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
26 | 26 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
26 | 26 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
25 | 25 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 25 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
17 | 17 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
13 | 13 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Neroca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2023 |
NER
3 - 1
TRA
21%
23%
57%
|
40 | 50 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2023 |
CHU
0 - 0
NER
81%
13%
6%
|
39 | 53 | 14 | +1 |
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
MIN
3 - 1
NER
72%
18%
9%
|
40 | 53 | 13 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 2022 |
NER
0 - 1
SDF
13%
20%
67%
|
40 | 56 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2022 |
GFC
0 - 0
NER
79%
15%
6%
|
40 | 60 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Aizawl
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2023 |
SMF
1 - 2
AIZ
21%
23%
56%
|
48 | 37 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2023 |
MOH
2 - 2
AIZ
53%
25%
23%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2023 |
AIZ
0 - 0
RKF
50%
25%
26%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2022 |
RAJ
1 - 0
AIZ
42%
25%
33%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
AIZ
4 - 0
KEN
68%
19%
12%
|
49 | 39 | 10 | 0 |